13 Aug · 16:55 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MB
🇨🇿Michal Brozek
ELO 1588
FormLLLLW
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Vesecky
DV
🇨🇿David Vesecky
ELO 1751
FormWWWWL
37%
63%
🔥 Underdog lean · Brozek
Fair odds · Vesecky
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~75 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
22%
2-3
17%
3-2
15%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+163
H2H45-20
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+163)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (45-20)