13 Aug · 13:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
SW
🇨🇿Sylwester Wloszek
ELO 1471
FormWLLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Masternak
JM
🇨🇿Jan Masternak
ELO 1483
FormLLLLL
49%
51%
Fair odds · Masternak
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 46% · 2.18· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~81 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+12
H2H50-65
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.