13 Aug · 16:50 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DT
🇨🇿Dominik Tichy
ELO 1564
FormWWWLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Tichy
JD
🇨🇿Jakub Dvorak
ELO 1514
FormLLLWW
54%
46%
🌟Dvorak covers set handicap as underdog 72% (65)
Fair odds · Tichy
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+50
H2H6-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.