13 Aug · 17:50 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
BM
🇨🇿Borek Moravec
ELO 1757
FormWWWWL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Moravec
JS
🇨🇿Jan Skvrna
ELO 1639
FormLLWWW
60%
40%
🌟Skvrna covers set handicap as underdog 71% (17)
Fair odds · Moravec
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
19%
3-0
19%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+118
H2H16-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+118)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (16-13)