13 Aug · 16:35 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
JR
🇨🇿Jan Ruzicka
ELO 1572
FormLWLWL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Ruzicka
MF
🇨🇿Milan Flesar
ELO 1451
FormLLLLL
60%
40%
Fair odds · Ruzicka
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~75 pts
3-1
23%
3-2
19%
3-0
19%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+121
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+121)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)