13 Aug · 16:30 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
PK
🇨🇿Pawel Kos
ELO 1488
3-2Final setsKos won
KZ
🇨🇿Krzysztof Zapala
ELO 1560
What the model said
Before the match, the model favoured Zapala at 53%. The actual result was Pawel Kos 3-2 — the underdog won.
How the markets settled
The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.
Match winner
Krzysztof Zapala favoured — closing 1.42
Total 77.5
102 points played
Set handicap
Krzysztof Zapala −1.5 sets
Points handicap
Krzysztof Zapala −4.5 points
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
Win probability
Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Pawel Kos is favoured to win, below means Krzysztof Zapala.
▲ Pawel Kospre 43% → final 89%
Krzysztof Zapala ▼
Biggest swing 58 ptsKos recovered from 31%72 points · 5 games