13 Aug · 20:00 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
PK
🇨🇿Pawel Kos
ELO 1488
FormWWLLW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Kowalewski
KK
🇨🇿Kamil Kowalewski
ELO 1613
FormWLLWL
40%
60%
Fair odds · Kowalewski
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 73% · 1.37· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~76 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
21%
2-3
16%
3-2
16%
3-1
15%
Elo Gap+125
H2H18-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+125)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (18-11)