13 Aug · 22:00 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
KG
🇨🇿Karol Guzy
ELO 1660
FormWWLWL
64%Win chancemodel fair 1.56Guzy
PK
🇨🇿Pawel Kos
ELO 1487
FormWLWWL
64%
36%
Fair odds · Guzy
Model 64% · 1.56vsMarket 76% · 1.31· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~77 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
22%
3-2
17%
2-3
14%
1-3
14%
Elo Gap+173
H2H32-29
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+173)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (32-29)