14 Aug · 09:25 MESZLow · Coin Flip
OV
🇨🇿Ondrej Varecka
ELO 1558
FormWWWLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Jr
VJ
🇨🇿Vaclav Hejda Jr
ELO 1562
FormWLWWW
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Jr🌟Varecka covers set handicap as underdog 67% (43)
Fair odds · Jr
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+4
H2H11-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.