14 Aug · 07:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MR
🇨🇿Michal Raska
ELO 1477
FormWLLLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Lasota
LL
🇨🇿Laurent Lasota
ELO 1536
FormWWWLL
45%
55%
🌟Raska covers set handicap as underdog 66% (61)
Fair odds · Lasota
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+59
H2H3-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+59)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)