14 Aug · 08:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AL
🇨🇿Ales Langer
ELO 1458
FormLWLLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Fiklik
OF
🇨🇿Ondrej Fiklik
ELO 1537
FormLWWWL
44%
56%
🔥 Underdog lean · Langer🌟Fiklik rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (135)
Fair odds · Fiklik
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+79
H2H14-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+79)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (14-9)