14 Aug · 10:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AL
🇨🇿Ales Langer
ELO 1458
FormLWLLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Varecka
OV
🇨🇿Ondrej Varecka
ELO 1558
FormWWWLL
42%
58%
Fair odds · Varecka
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+100
H2H7-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+100)