14 Aug · 10:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
TF
🇨🇿Tomas Fojtik
ELO 1519
FormLWLLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Pawlik
DP
🇨🇿Dominik Pawlik
ELO 1607
FormWWWLW
43%
57%
🌟Fojtik covers set handicap as underdog 69% (58)
Fair odds · Pawlik
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+88
H2H3-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+88)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-2)