14 Aug · 13:25 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MF
🇨🇿Martin Filipek
ELO 1446
FormWLWLL
64%Win chancemodel fair 1.56Srnka
JS
🇨🇿Jan Srnka
ELO 1622
FormLWWWW
36%
64%
🌟Filipek covers set handicap as underdog 67% (121)
Fair odds · Srnka
Model 64% · 1.56vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~75 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
22%
2-3
17%
3-2
14%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+176
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+176)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)