14 Aug · 09:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JK
🇨🇿Jan Krupnik
ELO 1590
FormWLLLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Krupnik
DJ
🇨🇿Dalibor Velky Jr
ELO 1506
FormLWLWW
57%
43%
🔥 Underdog lean · Jr🌟Krupnik rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (65)
Fair odds · Krupnik
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+84
H2H25-18
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+84)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (25-18)