14 Aug · 13:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
TR
🇨🇿Tomas Rein
ELO 1456
FormWWWLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Rein
PK
🇨🇿Petr Kubat
ELO 1387
FormWWLWL
56%
44%
Fair odds · Rein
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~73 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+69
H2H5-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+69)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-1)