14 Aug · 13:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RZ
🇨🇿Radek Zajac
ELO 1494
FormWLWLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Zajac
LS
🇨🇿Lukas Krupnik Snr
ELO 1450
FormWWWLL
54%
46%
🌟Snr covers set handicap as underdog 86% (22)
Fair odds · Zajac
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+44
H2H1-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.