14 Aug · 09:45 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MR
🇨🇿Michal Raska
ELO 1477
FormWLLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Raska
LK
🇨🇿Lukas Kantor
ELO 1460
FormLLWWW
51%
49%
🌟Raska rarely covers set handicap as favourite 30% (23)
Fair odds · Raska
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+17
H2H8-14
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.