14 Aug · 11:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VJ
🇨🇿Vaclav Hejda Jr
ELO 1562
FormWLWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Jr
OF
🇨🇿Ondrej Fiklik
ELO 1537
FormLWWWL
52%
48%
🌟Jr rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (65)
Fair odds · Jr
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 35% · 2.82· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+25
H2H7-31
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.