14 Aug · 16:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PP
🇨🇿Petr Pesout
ELO 1411
FormLLLWW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Kabelka
JK
🇨🇿Jan Kabelka
ELO 1518
FormWWLLW
41%
59%
🌟Pesout rarely covers set handicap as underdog 36% (25)
Fair odds · Kabelka
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+107
H2H0-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+107)