14 Aug · 16:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MF
🇨🇿Milan Flesar
ELO 1439
FormWWLLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Vavricka
RV
🇨🇿Richard Vavricka
ELO 1499
FormWLWWL
45%
55%
🌟Vavricka goes over total as favourite 62% (16)
Fair odds · Vavricka
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~73 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+60
H2H8-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+60)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-7)