14 Aug · 16:20 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JV
🇨🇿Josef Vintr
ELO 1538
FormWWWLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Vintr
PC
🇨🇿Pavel Cibik
ELO 1530
FormLWWLW
51%
49%
🌟Vintr covers set handicap as favourite 67% (15)
Fair odds · Vintr
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~79 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+8
H2H1-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.