14 Aug · 18:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PP
🇨🇿Petr Pesout
ELO 1411
FormLLLWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Flesar
MF
🇨🇿Milan Flesar
ELO 1439
FormWWLLL
48%
52%
🌟Pesout rarely covers set handicap as underdog 36% (25)
Fair odds · Flesar
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+28
H2H15-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.