14 Aug · 16:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DT
🇨🇿Dominik Tichy
ELO 1556
FormLLWWW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Tichy
MF
🇨🇿Martin Filipek
ELO 1446
FormWLWLL
59%
41%
🌟Filipek covers set handicap as underdog 67% (121)
Fair odds · Tichy
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+110
H2H4-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+110)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-3)