14 Aug · 18:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
KB
🇨🇿Karel Baros
ELO 1534
FormWWLLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Baros
VR
🇨🇿Vladislav Reska
ELO 1488
FormLLWWL
54%
46%
🌟Baros stays under total as favourite 62% (16)
Fair odds · Baros
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+46
H2H13-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.