14 Aug · 18:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MF
🇨🇿Martin Filipek
ELO 1446
FormWLWLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Cousin
JC
🇨🇿Jean-Baptiste Cousin
ELO 1476
FormLWLWW
48%
52%
🌟Filipek covers set handicap as underdog 67% (121)
Fair odds · Cousin
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 38% · 2.67· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+30
H2H1-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.