Marcin Stepien vs Michal Lysakowski

← TT Cup predictions

14 Aug · 10:00 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct

🇨🇿Marcin Stepien

ELO 1623

3-1Final setsStepien won

🇨🇿Michal Lysakowski

ELO 1642

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Stepien at 50%. The actual result was Marcin Stepien 3-1 — the pick was correct.

Marcin Stepien — profile →Michal Lysakowski — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Marcin Stepien favoured — closing 1.75

Favourite won

Total 80.5

84 points played

Over

Set handicap

Marcin Stepien −1.5 sets

Covered

Points handicap

Marcin Stepien −1.5 points

Covered

Total sets 4.5

over / under

Under

Exact score

market priced 3-1 at close

4.3

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Marcin Stepien is favoured to win, below means Michal Lysakowski.

▲ Marcin Stepienpre 54% → final 89%

Michal Lysakowski ▼

Biggest swing 56 ptsStepien recovered from 33%72 points · 4 games