14 Aug · 13:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PG
🇨🇿Pawel Gola
ELO 1542
FormLWLLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Radlo
SR
🇨🇿Szymon Radlo
ELO 1624
FormWWWLL
43%
57%
Fair odds · Radlo
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 61% · 1.64· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~79 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+82
H2H37-37
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+82)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)