14 Aug · 14:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
ML
🇨🇿Michal Lysakowski
ELO 1642
FormLLWLW
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Lysakowski
JM
🇨🇿Jan Masternak
ELO 1458
FormLLLLL
65%
35%
Fair odds · Lysakowski
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 61% · 1.64· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~80 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
23%
3-2
17%
2-3
14%
1-3
13%
Elo Gap+184
H2H52-65
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+184)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)