14 Aug · 20:05 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
JH
🇨🇿Jakub Horky
ELO 1437
FormLWWWL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Horky
RJ
🇨🇿Radim Jaros
ELO 1315
FormLWWLL
60%
40%
Fair odds · Horky
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~76 pts
3-1
23%
3-2
19%
3-0
19%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+122
H2H7-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+122)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-5)