14 Aug · 22:15 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JT
🇨🇿Jakub Travnicek
ELO 1517
FormLWWLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Travnicek
TK
🇨🇿Tomas Kindl
ELO 1515
FormWWWLL
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kindl🌟Travnicek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 26% (35)
Fair odds · Travnicek
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+2
H2H6-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.