14 Aug · 21:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RJ
🇨🇿Radim Jaros
ELO 1315
FormLWWLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Chmelicek
MC
🇨🇿Martin Chmelicek
ELO 1362
FormLLLLL
46%
54%
🌟Chmelicek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 27% (22)
Fair odds · Chmelicek
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+47
H2H10-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.