14 Aug · 21:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MB
🇨🇿Michal Brozek
ELO 1608
FormLWWWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Brozek
MK
🇨🇿Marek Kulisek
ELO 1519
FormWLLLL
57%
43%
Fair odds · Brozek
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~74 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+89
H2H98-85
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+89)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (98-85)