14 Aug · 22:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PB
🇨🇿Pavel Benes
ELO 1598
FormWLLLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Benes
MK
🇨🇿Marek Kulisek
ELO 1519
FormWLLLL
56%
44%
Fair odds · Benes
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~74 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+79
H2H29-15
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+79)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (29-15)