14 Aug · 21:55 MESZLow · Coin Flip
OK
🇨🇿Ondrej Kadavy
ELO 1695
FormLLLLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Jicha
DJ
🇨🇿David Jicha
ELO 1699
FormWLWWL
50%
50%
🌟Kadavy covers set handicap as underdog 67% (39)
Fair odds · Jicha
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 42% · 2.36· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+4
H2H6-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.