15 Aug · 09:40 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
BM
🇨🇿Borek Moravec
ELO 1778
FormWWWWW
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Moravec
JS
🇨🇿Jiri Skalicky
ELO 1585
FormLWLWW
65%
35%
🌟Skalicky covers set handicap as underdog 71% (14)
Fair odds · Moravec
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~76 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
23%
3-2
18%
2-3
14%
1-3
13%
Elo Gap+193
H2H9-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+193)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-3)