15 Aug · 09:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JP
🇨🇿Jiri Palat
ELO 1494
FormLLWWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Skalicky
JS
🇨🇿Jiri Skalicky
ELO 1585
FormLWLWW
43%
57%
Fair odds · Skalicky
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+91
H2H2-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+91)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-1)