15 Aug · 08:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JS
🇨🇿Jaroslav Sindler
ELO 1547
FormWWWLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Sindler
OS
🇨🇿Ondrej Skvor
ELO 1472
FormWWLWL
56%
44%
🔥 Underdog lean · Skvor🌟Sindler goes over total as favourite 66% (76)
Fair odds · Sindler
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+75
H2H3-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+75)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-2)