15 Aug · 08:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JS
🇨🇿Jiri Skalicky
ELO 1585
FormLWLWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Skalicky
TK
🇨🇿Tomas Krenek
ELO 1542
FormLLWWW
54%
46%
🌟Krenek goes over total as underdog 67% (66)
Fair odds · Skalicky
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~79 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+43
H2H2-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.