15 Aug · 08:40 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
BM
🇨🇿Borek Moravec
ELO 1778
FormWWWWW
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Moravec
TK
🇨🇿Tomas Krenek
ELO 1542
FormLLWWW
68%
32%
🌟Krenek goes over total as underdog 67% (66)
Fair odds · Moravec
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~77 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
24%
3-2
19%
2-3
13%
1-3
12%
Elo Gap+236
H2H16-16
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+236)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)