15 Aug · 09:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RJ
🇨🇿Richard Jancak
ELO 1490
FormLLLWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Sindler
JS
🇨🇿Jaroslav Sindler
ELO 1547
FormWWWLW
45%
55%
🔥 Underdog lean · Jancak🌟Jancak covers set handicap as underdog 69% (49)
Fair odds · Sindler
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+57
H2H14-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+57)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (14-9)