15 Aug · 07:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PJ
🇨🇿Patrik Jokiel
ELO 1461
FormWWWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Jancak
RJ
🇨🇿Richard Jancak
ELO 1490
FormLLLWW
48%
52%
🔥 Underdog lean · Jokiel🌟Jancak goes over total as favourite 68% (62)
Fair odds · Jancak
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+29
H2H1-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.