15 Aug · 12:15 MESZLow · Coin Flip
PJ
🇨🇿Patrik Jokiel
ELO 1461
FormWWWLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Skvor
OS
🇨🇿Ondrej Skvor
ELO 1472
FormWWLWL
49%
51%
🔥 Underdog lean · Jokiel🌟Skvor rarely covers set handicap as favourite 38% (32)
Fair odds · Skvor
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+11
H2H2-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.