15 Aug · 08:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JJ
🇨🇿Jan Manhal Jnr
ELO 1488
FormLWWLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Jnr
PP
🇨🇿Petr Pesout
ELO 1399
FormLLLWL
57%
43%
🌟Pesout rarely covers set handicap as underdog 35% (26)
Fair odds · Jnr
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+89
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+89)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)