15 Aug · 11:45 MESZLow · Coin Flip
TO
🇨🇿Tomas Ogrocki
ELO 1448
FormLWLWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Ogrocki
DS
🇨🇿Dominik Stefek
ELO 1444
FormLLWWW
50%
50%
🌟Stefek covers set handicap as underdog 67% (30)
Fair odds · Ogrocki
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+4
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.