15 Aug · 14:55 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JD
🇨🇿Jaroslav Dohnal
ELO 1527
FormLLWWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Dohnal
ZM
🇨🇿Zdenek Muhlhauser
ELO 1526
FormLLLWW
50%
50%
🌟Dohnal rarely covers set handicap as favourite 30% (128)
Fair odds · Dohnal
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+1
H2H6-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.