15 Aug · 12:55 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JD
🇨🇿Jaroslav Dohnal
ELO 1527
FormLLWWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Vodal
PV
🇨🇿Petr Vodal
ELO 1532
FormWWWLL
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Vodal🌟Vodal rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (82)
Fair odds · Vodal
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+5
H2H50-60
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.