15 Aug · 14:25 MESZLow · Coin Flip
PV
🇨🇿Petr Vodal
ELO 1532
FormWWWLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Vodal
ZM
🇨🇿Zdenek Muhlhauser
ELO 1526
FormLLLWW
50%
50%
🌟Vodal rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (82)
Fair odds · Vodal
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+6
H2H2-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.