15 Aug · 12:35 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
RF
🇨🇿Radek Fitl
ELO 1543
FormLLLWW
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Fitl
PP
🇨🇿Petr Pesout
ELO 1399
FormLLLWL
62%
38%
🌟Pesout rarely covers set handicap as underdog 35% (26)
Fair odds · Fitl
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~76 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
22%
3-2
17%
2-3
15%
1-3
15%
Elo Gap+144
H2H4-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+144)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-2)