15 Aug · 13:05 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
RP
🇨🇿Radim Pokorny
ELO 1544
FormLLWWW
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Pokorny
PP
🇨🇿Petr Pesout
ELO 1399
FormLLLWL
62%
38%
🌟Pesout rarely covers set handicap as underdog 35% (26)
Fair odds · Pokorny
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~75 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
22%
3-2
17%
2-3
15%
1-3
15%
Elo Gap+145
H2H5-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+145)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-2)